Governments Prepare For Warming as Solar Activity Declines And Cooling Continues

[Sandra]

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) position that the sun has nothing to do with global warming or climate change

Governments Prepare For Warming as Solar Activity Declines And Cooling Continues

 By Dr. Tim
Ball  Monday, December 27, 2010




A British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC)

story links the current weather with that of the Little Ice Age
(LIA). They begin as follows; Astronomers have reported that the Sun
is at its dimmest for almost a century.

It’s remarkable from the BBC because they’ve consistently pushed the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) position that the sun
has nothing to do with global warming or climate change.

Solar changes are responsible for most climate variations from cyclical
changes in Sun/Earth relationships (the Milankovitch Effect), to changes
in electromagnetic radiation (heat and light), to changes in cloud cover
caused by varying cosmic radiation controlled by changing solar
magnetism.

Solar activity is diminishing as those who questioned the anthropogenic
warming (AGW) theory said.

Figure 1 shows sunspot activity slowing. 




Source

The article talks about two previous coolings caused by reduced solar
activity, the Dalton (1795-1823) and the Maunder (1645-1715) Minimums
(Figure 2). Last year skeptics were speculating on conditions similar to
the Dalton, but now Maunder is looking more likely. 



Source
:

Michael Mann and deceivers at the IPCC eliminated the Medieval Warm
Period (MWP) but they also removed the LIA in the handle of the “hockey
stick”. They overrode extensive research that described conditions of the
time with the help Obama’s science czar, John Holdren. Ironically, during
the cooling period from 1940 to 1980 those who now exploit global warming
were exploiting global cooling. Martin Parry and others were producing
reports on the impacts of cooling on agriculture in various marginal
regions. They used evidence from the Little Ice Age (LIA) to project
expected changes. Parry later jumped on the warming wagon as co-chair of
the 2007 IPCC Working Group II Report on Impacts. He

dismissed as trivial the deception about melting Himalayan glaciers.

Historic Impacts

Recently a
documentary on
Scottish history made no mention of the climate changes associated with
the LIA and the impact on the Highland Clearances.

In fact, history makes little sense unless you know the climate changes
that triggered most change.  Figure 3 shows the marginal and
submarginal land throughout the British Isles. As temperatures declined
from the MWP the height on the sides of the hills above which agriculture
was not possible, lowered. An estimated 200 meter drop occurred, which
doesn’t sound like much, but when converted to a gradient, expands into
all the submarginal area. Impact on the County of Berwick (Figure 4)
shows the dramatic decrease in agricultural area. Apparently wheat went
out of production and wasn’t reintroduced until the latter part of the
19th century.

Highland clans were forced into the lowlands, which triggered clan
warfare at the end of the 16th century. By 1600 an estimated 100,000
people were shipped to the Ulster Plantation (Northern Ireland).
Countless others went to North America. Landowners reacted by pushing out
most who tried to remain, replacing them with sheep and Highland Cattle.




Figure 3: Marginal and submarginal agricultural land.
Source: Parry, Martin, et al. 1996. Report of the UK Climate Change
Impacts Review Group. UK Department of the Environment, London. 2 July
1996.



Figure 4: County of Berwickshire, Scotland. Decreasing agricultural
area



Figure 5: Agricultural and social impact

Philippine volcano Pinatubo erupted in 1991 and caused global
temperatures to drop by 1°C in 1992. It was an opportunity to analyze the
impact, but most of that focused on the weather and climate or the
agriculture around the volcano. I saw the impact on Canada as corn failed
to ripen and farmers used a desiccant to harvest grains. Figure 6 shows
the estimated changes in Canadian agricultural potential of a 1°C drop.




Figure 6: Speculative Map of a 1°C temperature decline in Canada.

Warm Bias

Clearly the ability to adapt and adjust is better than it was in the 18th century, but some of that advantage is lost because the government is preparing for warming.
Another problem is the IPCC focus on only the negative impacts of
warming. This bias was a measure of the scientific disgrace and political
bias of the their work. Among the most nasty attacks on anything I have
written was for an article published in Canada, identifying the positive
effects, which among others, includes a larger agricultural area, longer
frost free growing seasons, reduced fuel consumption for home heating and
vehicles, reduced road repairs because of less frost damage. People are
only aware of the negative impacts of warming so they are unaware that
the impacts of cooling are much more severe. For example, they warn of
increased loss of life due to warming, but many more people die every
year from cold even now. That would increase in a colder world.

Parry

brushed aside criticisms of the 2007 Impact Report saying, “It is
easy to forget the big picture, which is that the WG2 volume represents a
sound and reliable statement of our knowledge.”

This is a totally false statement and only valid as it speaks to the
massive deceptions Parry and the IPCC foist on the world. Beyond the
multitude of errors there is the complete bias to warming. This type of
bias has dominated everything they’ve done. “The Stern Review on the
economics of climate change, which was commissioned by the Treasury, was
greeted with headlines worldwide when it was published in October 2006.
It contained dire predictions about the impact of climate change in
different parts of the world. But it can be revealed that when the report
was printed by Cambridge University Press in January 2007,

some of these predictions had been watered down because the
scientific evidence on which they were based could not be
verified.”

They adjusted the Review because of false science from the IPCC
Reports. What they ignored was that the Review only looked at the cost of
warming. No reputable economist does such a single-sided study – a
cost/benefit analysis is the standard approach.

They conned governments with one deception after another and precluded
any chance of a logical and reasonable approach. Beyond the fact that
doing nothing is the best policy, if you want to prepare you prepare for
cooling because if you are wrong the adjustment to a warmer world is so
much easier. Meanwhile the record colds continue. Hans Jelbring brought
the

following to my attention.  The December 26, 2010 Swedish
newspaper Dagens Nyheter the headlne reads Kallaste vintern sedan
1700-talet (Coldest winter since the 18th century). Atlanta, Georgia
had the first white Christmas since 1882.

The denials and deceptions also continue. Included is corruption of the
global temperature record to prove 2010 was the warmest on record. The
Obama administration compounds the problems by not challenging the
falsehoods and corruption but

continues his plan to bankrupt the coal industry by imposing heavy
restrictions on energy through the Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA). 

By his word this guarantees skyrocketing energy costs, which will impact
the poor and middle class most as heating bills soar. It’s the political
version of the song, “You always hurt the one you claim to love.”

 


http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/31495

 

[Sandra]

Tater, you are right on target! How are people going to even afford to go to work if they have a job? Food is on the rise and by summer we will be into a shortage becasue of all the cold killing crops like here in Florida, we grow in the winter like California, AZ,Texas and this winter has wiped a lot of food off and the floods etc did that t the mid-west this past summer. We need to be calling ou DC people every friggen week, until they do something right! I pray 2011 will start the run on reversing all this BS that is destroying jobs, and the economy....

[Tater Salad]

 

Thank you President Barack Obama for the up and becoming $5.00 per gallon gas.  Your oil drilling moratorium is working "just fine".  Glad you are a million air and have a dozen limos driving you around on taxpayers money.

 

http://money.cnn.com/2010/12/27/markets/oil_commodities/index.htm